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Twitter DELISTED Friday | Important Message to Investors.Twitter is being de-listed from the New,Yor

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Updated on Jan 12,2023

Twitter DELISTED Friday | Important Message to Investors.

Twitter is being de-listed from the New,York Stock Exchange effective October,28th Friday that's likely because Elon,Musk wants everyone to let his new,ownership sink in well he's expected to,take ownership of Twitter at 5 pm and,says the rumors of him dismissing 75,percent of the staff are false well even,though he is expected to cut a lot of,expenses at Twitter he's got an uphill,battle to work in the valuation for,Twitter and in this video I'd like to,talk about what you're buckling up for,if you're deciding to ride or die with,Elon Musk when this company goes private,and the shares are delisted Friday I'm,not entirely sure if that's Friday,morning or Friday at the closing bell,either way before or after Friday,Twitter will be delisted and it will be,a private company so we know that Elon,Musk is paying about 44 billion dollars,for this company the largest idea that,he has is growing the user base of,Twitter from it's current about 200,million users let's not even get into,the discussion of how many of those are,actually bought two one billion users,that's about a 5x growth in users and,then hopefully 10xing the monetize I,monetizability of Twitter in order to,essentially produce real cash flows and,uh the idea of Elon Musk purchasing,Twitter for 5420 has been the reason,that Twitter has actually traded,relatively close to 5420 because quite,frankly Twitter would probably be,selling for close to 15 to 20 dollars,today since advertising companies are,absolutely getting reamed uh during this,uh this recession and it's really what's,a beginning of recession which stocks,tend to price in the worst of of course,now we're getting actual EPS misses from,companies like Google Microsoft and,Facebook and so what do we get big,downshifts all at all companies except,for Twitter of course because elon's,paid 54-20 for it now look it's all new,he knows he's overpaying he was paying,at the time like 70 times 2022 earnings,that should have compressed by at least,half it's old news to say he's paying,double what it's worth we got that,what's he going to do with the company,well again double well 5x Revenue sorry,5x the user base and 10x the revenue and,how does he plan to do that well,according to sort of internal rumors,that we're hearing Elon Musk is also,hinting about this on Twitter that we,might see Twitter turn into a Twitter,space that can also include monetizable,videos including subscription based live,streams where you could essentially sign,up for a one-time paid live stream or a,paid Style live stream think about,Twitter spaces but either for exclusive,members or through some sort of paid,subscription model kind of like maybe,when I used to do Market open and close,live streams publicly a paid version of,that and then hosted on Twitter and one,of the things that I'd like to add in,terms of commentary is in order for this,to be successful we should potentially,look at the number one competitor in the,space of a long form video and now we're,not talking about short form video which,would be Facebook reels YouTube shorts,or tick tocks we're talking about long,form generally deemed to be eight,minutes plus but really anything over,about three minutes and that is a,horizontal video video would be a,competitor like twitch Vimeo Facebook,video or YouTube and clearly the,elephant of the room is YouTube YouTube,has the number one Nielsen rating for,most watched streaming service as of,September of 2020 which is actually an,impressive feat but when we look at the,numbers of the earnings provided by,YouTube for Google we can see that,YouTube advertising is down about 1.85,percent uh year over year and if we look,at the percentage of Revenue that comes,from YouTube compared to the total,revenue for Google we can see that,YouTube makes up less,then the Google network of income it,does make up nearly twice as much as,Google Cloud but makes up a fraction of,the ads that are spent on search in,total YouTube ads make up only about,10.2 percent of of Google's entire,revenue and that's actually declined as,a share of Revenue YouTube used to,represent 11 in income this was back in,uh 2021 and now represents just 10.2,percent so not only is it experiencing a,downshift in sort of the trend of growth,but it's also becoming a less important,part of Google's revenue which one of,the reasons people have been very,enthusiastic about Google over the last,few years has been because of YouTube,but that is actually becoming less,notable at Google and so for Elon Musk,to suggest hey let's just turn Twitter,into a potentially to suggest let's turn,Twitter into a platform for long form,monetizability I have a few suggestions,for Elon Musk and a warning so the first,in terms of suggestions,monetization is everything YouTube and,Google have announced that they're,planning to incorporate product,placement buttons that pop up within,videos while the videos are playing so,maybe kind of like the little cards that,pop up for another video you could,

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Investors selling Twitter stock are missing the fact Musk deal will close, says Jim Cramer
Two Tesla Stock Investors ADMIT To HUGE Mistake
The share price was the downfall of Tesla stock, not Twitter, says Gilman Hill's Jenny Harrington
Tesla Stock’s Worst Year Ever, Explained | WSJ
If You Own Twitter (TWTR) Shares, You May Want To Take A Profit Now
Rosenblatt upgrades Twitter stock to buy
Twitter accepts Elon's deal 🚨 How will you get paid? [Full Details]

Investors selling Twitter stock are missing the fact Musk deal will close, says Jim Cramer

yeah I mean that's really you know a,sideshow in terms of what's going to,happen because uh next Friday uh musk is,buying it for 54.20 now this National,Security review which by the way the,White House has since said uh that it is,unaware of it we do not know of any such,discussions and that helped a bit in,terms of the decline in the stock but,you're still seeing it there that is,more or less solely because of this,story from Bloomberg uh well-regarded,reporters behind it and so the question,becomes well who told them this and why,did they think it was worth writing,um we don't know we don't know I will,tell you at least in speaking to people,close to Twitter they are unaware of any,inquiry so far from the U.S government,at all about National Security concerns,here,um that said where would or how would,they take place well perhaps cepheus,remember the committee for foreign,investment in the U.S which reviews,deals for their National Security,profile if they feel like there's,something that is concerning to them if,you were to see a formal letter from,cepheus to musk and Twitter they would,hold up the deal until that inquiry took,place that has not happened but that is,the concern right now uh that in fact,the next week given what we saw in this,Bloomberg story that somehow they would,decide that that is something they,wanted to take a look at,his his tweets about Putin or the fact,that he's providing starlink for free to,the Ukrainian uh to to Ukraine and has,said hey I'm providing it for free,and I'll get to you know it's very much,unclear exactly what uh has risen to a,level that would really concern the,government in a at least a real way,um section four of the equity commitment,letter by the way states that musk,cannot bring in investors that would,result in consent or additional uh,additional approval under any Anti-Trust,or foreign investment laws so if they,were to say hey we have some issues with,your investors you just have to get rid,of them under the merger agreement and,replace them either with Zone Equity or,somebody else talked yesterday about a,lot of the equity that at least is being,attempted to be raised even more on that,this guy Gavin Baker the hedge fund up,in Boston had a big presentation,yesterday,pointing out by the way that about seven,percent of the users are responsible for,eighty percent of the cash flow that may,go to why some of these uh stories about,significant layoffs may be true in some,in some fashion although I have not,heard that 75 number but I mean you guys,know this anything at this point will,scare people off because it's Twitter,it's musk uh this would be Jim,outside the realm of what we would deem,many would deem acceptable almost has,rings of what we would have seen under,the previous administration doing,something that would be uh to the,benefit of the president perhaps,um by taking advantage of uh and and and,and and trying to penalize their,political opponents,geez I've got to I have the exact same,story in my report and I know we speak,to different people,but that's exactly the story I got and,people were selling stock,it's motivated by other people and,they're going to miss the fact that the,deal will close,and uh I mean I don't know about the,layoffs because the layoffs haven't been,targeted but I have exactly the same,story you did which is that this is,while it certainly I'm not going to see,a story as a mistake I am saying that,that this is not going to help it seems,unlikely but it doesn't take much to,concern people who are betting on a,close next Friday of course as we,discussed yesterday and as these I you,know quoted some of these emails that,have gone out in terms of looking for,further Equity uh checks this deal is,expected everything I've heard indicates,that it is expected to close next Friday,but this was unexpected that you would,even see a story like this how to,actually gauge its impact Carl is very,much unclear right now and musk himself,is responding to tweets about the report,the notion that somehow he wants the,government to save him from a deal that,some argue he doesn't really want is not,lost on him at least that thesis no he,loves irony but the idea that he,actually is such a playing chess at such,a high level that he actually did this,purposefully to try to bring about a,National Security review that could,result in the deal not happening live,DHS that's hard to imagine uh and again,people close to Twitter indicate to me,there is nothing they've seen from the,government in terms of any inquiry thus,far but,um,listen uh you know it's Twitter it's,just like it's Chinatown Jake I mean I,don't know meanwhile uh Webb Bush today,says he's probably got to sell another,five to ten of Tesla uh in order to pay,for this deal which they think fair,value on Twitter is more like 30. that,yeah 30 or below given the snap numbers,today you could imagine if Twitter was,not in possession of a 5420 deal that,it's going to close next Friday it would,be

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Two Tesla Stock Investors ADMIT To HUGE Mistake

I am a long-term believer in Tesla I,think that the shares are undervalued,near-term I would be cautious I think,that there's going to be some earnings,pressure on this based on some of the,discounting that has happened Gene when,when did you sell Tesla shares uh,basically tapped out kind of blew it,through a market cap provision so at 400,billion uh yes I think it was go-to you,didn't go you didn't yeah just a lot of,the juice we did Joe yeah we missed a,lot of it well so we just initiated to,position Shauna in Tesla we thought that,the sell-off had gotten overdone we'd,owned it years ago when Elon was in much,bigger trouble than he is right now,remember he had SEC after him he was,sleeping on the floor of the plant he,was doing you know podcast drinking,whiskey and smoking a bong with Joe,Rogan and he was losing staff in a,meaningful way we we learned we took a,double in the stock and we got out and,we left a lot of money on the table I,think when you look at the growth even,with the demand slowed down this is a,stock you're going to want to own three,to five years from now maybe not for the,next three months but that will give us,an opportunity to add to our position so,that's one name oh I love you so much,baby can you believe it's been almost,two years together I don't know what I'd,do without you my little secret but I,love you,oh we're recording,that was nothing yo edit up just make,sure that doesn't go live I mean that'd,be really embarrassing we definitely,won't tell them more about this later in,the video,ah,all right so where were we oh that's,right so in this video two people who,previously owned Tesla stock and,previously sold Tesla stock and missed,out on enormous gains on Tesla stock,share their current thoughts on Tesla,stock plus a new note from Morgan,Stanley and a quick heads up to my,patreon supporters which by the way if,you're not among them you can join with,the card in the corner or the link,depend comment posted an exclusive video,today detailing the latest update around,Tesla safety facts which by the way,don't care about your feelings and I was,a spoiler alert you don't even need to,join patreon for this one Tesla vehicles,keep getting safer over time what a,shock I know but hey if you want to see,the full video check it out on patreon,means even ahead of earning season you,mentioned the fact that you were,actively adding what do you like right,now given all that uncertainty ahead,well so we just initiated the position,Shana in Tesla we thought that the,sell-off had gotten overdone we'd owned,it years ago when Elon was in much,bigger trouble than he is right now,remember he had SEC after him he was,sleeping on the floor of the plant he,was doing you know podcast drinking,whiskey and smoking and Bong with Joe,Rogan and he was losing staff in a,meaningful way we we learned we took a,double in the stock and we got out and,we left a lot of money on the table now,call me crazy but there may be a lesson,here what could that lesson possibly be,well you can't go broke taking a profit,maybe there was an arbitrary rule here,once we double our money on a stock we,sell it because then we can't go broke,which is absolutely true you double your,money sell you pay your capital gains,tax you end up with a fraction of what,you actually profited because of the,capital gains tax so now you go great,now that I've locked in my profit where,do I put the money the smaller amount of,money because I've paid my capital gains,tax meaning I'll need an even greater,return on that money once it's,reinvested given a couple of gains tax,then I would have if I just left it in,that stock and it continued to grow now,doesn't mean stocks will always continue,to grow but we've learned a lesson,imagine having sold your Tesla stock,roughly around 2018 2019 based on the,timing of these comments could have been,as late as early 2020 and then miss out,on the stock going another three four,five X after you sold just because you,decided Well double my money time to,sell now got to look in that profit,again you can't go broke with this,strategy but you're probably not as,likely to create substantial wealth with,this strategy either when I first became,interested in investing years ago in,fact probably 15 years ago give or take,I began going to a lot of real estate,investor meetups why I wanted to learn,from people with a bit more experience,because that's what people with a brain,generally do rather than making all the,mistakes themselves they go well let's,talk to some people who've already made,a lot of mistakes and try and learn what,mistakes they made so I don't make those,same mistakes every time at every Meetup,I made a b line for the people who had a,little bit of gray in their hair and,asked them a few questions the first and,foremost what's your biggest regret the,biggest mistake you've made investing in,real estate or otherwise every,person had the same answer I bought this,house it doubled it tripled and then I,so

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The share price was the downfall of Tesla stock, not Twitter, says Gilman Hill's Jenny Harrington

but we're doing it now uh because I,think it's the most interesting story in,the market it's Tesla uh right now it,hits another new low the market cap has,fallen now below Walmart and JP Morgan,That's stunning in and of itself if you,consider where it started this year Joe,it was north of 1.2,trillion,dollars okay now it is as I look at it,now,it is like,355 billion dollars,that to me is emblematic of the story of,the year in the stock market itself for,stocks like that without question the,beginning of the downfall for Tesla was,in early April when Elon Musk announced,the stake in Twitter at that point the,stock was 10 percent higher on the year,not 10 higher than where it is now 10 10,higher in the green here in the Girl of,the Year subsequent to that in four,separate stock sales Elon Musk has sold,23 billion dollars worth of stock now,he's tried to defend the stock he has,split the stock he has dangled a stock,buyback he has said he will no longer be,the CEO of Twitter he's attempted,everything he possibly can what he,cannot do,is he cannot defend against the massive,ownership that existed in this company,and unfortunately for those that do own,it the cost of capital has changed so,dynamically,that that ownership is being liquidated,in what I think is one of the most,dramatic Equity liquidations I've,witnessed since 2000 so momentum is a,powerful thing powerful up and down now,you own the stock we do through the Joe,T ETF correct now if I'm a betting man,and sometimes I am a betting man I'm,thinking that when you rebalance which,is coming at the end of the year and,we're going to find out shortly after,that,right current Holdings are that Tesla,may not be in the Joe T can you give us,an idea if you're able to uh on how,you're thinking about this right now,I'm going to give you my best Bill,Belichick I'm on overtime the last day,of January you're on to Cincinnati in,other words,correct you're not you're not talking,about it now and it's I'm sure because,uh just from a regulatory standpoint I,would imagine that you're not able to,get into any sort of you know key,details about that however Jenny,how are we supposed to think about,what's happening here as it sort of,relates to the overall narrative in the,stock market because I think they're,tied together I think so,into the radio and you said something,that was so smart that I texted it to,myself so I'd requote it you said we are,re-rading everything because of what,lies ahead and that to me that sentence,encapsulates everything that's going on,that's Tesla that's Peloton which is,what I think you were talking about it's,the reason energy up it is up it's the,reason utilities up everything's being,rereaded it's not all in one direction,it's not all negative some of it's quite,positive but when we look at at Twitter,where sorry when we look at Tesla where,I disagree with Joe a little bit is it,wasn't it wasn't Twitter that created,the downfall it was that the share price,never should have been what it was and,that brings me back to that Charlie,Munger quote which I'm going to,completely botch which is something like,any wonderful company can be turned into,a terrible investment simply by driving,up the share price too much and that's,what happened that's what happened over,the past several years these share,prices just got I think Twitter had,nothing to do Twitter was a catalyst,that accelerated something that had to,happen Okay so if the stock was standing,at the edge of the cliff something else,it was Twitter no it was Twitter that,pushed it over uh no because I think you,guys are I think you guys can both be,right I think you're right I think you,guys can both do right I think Twitter,was the most recent uh episode to,puncture one of the tires but the car,was already in trouble because of where,we are what the FED is doing and as I,said this morning what lies ahead still,I sorry I disagree with both of you the,stock was 10 higher at the beginning of,April the market was already down there,was a degree of resiliency built into,the stock there was but only into the,stock stock price the thing is it was,trading back then at what like,10 times the collective value of every,single automotive company in the world,some people think it's a tech company,you know okay but it just didn't make,sense at some point the future cash,flows need to justify the current,valuation and there was no version of,Tesla at its peak that was ever,justifiable not for like 30 years of,growth and so that's what's happening,and that's what happened it came down,it's just it's just reconciling the,whole year is about reconciliation yeah,I think that's I think that's a fine way,to put it there's one more than that go,ahead Michael because if I'd have told,you at the beginning of the year when,Tesla was in the trillion dollar club,with the microsofts and the apples uh,and I said that at the end of the year,it was going to be in the Walmart club,uh with the market cap that obviously is,res

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Tesla Stock’s Worst Year Ever, Explained | WSJ

- When billionaire Elon Musk bought Twitter,,some Tesla investors worried Musk was abandoning,the electric vehicle maker,to focus on the social media company.,(Musk laughing),- So in Twitter...,- What could possibly go wrong?,(all laughing),- Since the deals closed in late October,,Tesla shares have slipped ending the year down 65%.,The company's worst year on record.,But the reason for the selloff goes far beyond Twitter.,Here's what drove Tesla investors away in 2022,,and what's affecting the car maker going into 2023.,Let's start with demand.,For years, Tesla has stood out as the leader,in the electric vehicle space,,and while its dominance continued,in the third quarter of 2022,,its market share slipped to 61%.,- In the last year,,we've seen an explosion of competing EV models for Tesla,,and as that number continues to grow over the years,,the concern is whether or not demand,for Tesla vehicles will continue to stay as high,as it has been in the past.,- According to JD Power,,there were 33 EV models available in the US,at the end of 2021, but by the end of 2022,that number had jumped to 53 models.,Tesla still held four,of the top five selling EVs last year according,to S&P Global Mobility.,But the sell-off in Tesla shares,reflects investors' fear that its hold won't last,as newer models arrive.,- Tesla has sold the same sort of handful of models,for years now, and the question is,will Tesla continue to be as competitive,as it has in the past or will they become outdated?,- Further fueling concerns,are customer wait times for Tesla cars,,which dropped sharply over 2022.,Some investors see this as a sign,demand is already softening.,Musk addressed these concerns,on Tesla's third quarter earnings call.,- I can't emphasize enough.,We have excellent demand for Q4,,and we expect to sell every car that we make,as far into the future as we can see.,- And in December, the CEO said,on a Twitter Spaces call that demand pressures,were driven by rising interest rate policies.,Production disruptions also contributed,to the stock slide last year,leading to Tesla missing,its full year vehicle delivery target.,The EV makers said it delivered 1.3 million vehicles,in 2022, up 40% from 2021.,That was shy of its goal of increasing deliveries,by 50% or more.,It would've needed more than 1.4 million to hit that target.,News of the shortfall pushed stocks down,another 12% to start the new year.,Its largest single day decline in more than two years.,Intermittent factory closures,at Tesla's China plant, its largest by volume,,were one part of the problem.,- China's zero COVID policy led,to a number of shutdowns at its factory in Shanghai,,which obviously created supply issues of its own.,- Tesla also faced issues at new factories,in Texas and Germany,,where it struggled to ramp up production.,Musk addressed those problems in a May interview.,- Both Berlin and Austin factories,are gigantic money furnaces right now.,- Rising supplier and logistics costs,combined with soaring inflation,contributed to these production setbacks.,- Tesla and every manufacturer making EVs today is,confronting rapidly rising costs from the raw materials,that go into the batteries, to construction related costs,or frankly even labor related costs.,All of that is going up,,and the car industry is not one with huge profit margins.,- For Tesla, this included spending roughly,11 billion in the first quarter on items,needed to make and sell cars.,- Overwhelmingly, our concern is how do we,keep the factories operating,so we can pay people and not go bankrupt?,- Overvaluation is another factor some investors,and analysts say is complicating,Tesla's shrinking stock price.,- Tesla has been egregiously overvalued,for the last couple years based on hype.,- At its peak, Tesla was worth more,than the 10 largest automakers on the planet combined,despite having just a fraction of their sales.,- A lot of investors who have debated whether or not,Tesla is an overvalued company have done so,based on the fact that it owned a huge percentage,of the US EV market,and that it was the first mover in that market.,Its valuation was driven in part by its CEO,and some investors say Musk's promises,about future vehicles have pushed shares higher,though many of the cars didn't come until years later.,The latest example, Tesla's cyber truck,,which was first unveiled three years ago,and still hasn't hit the market.,- Cyber truck is gonna be awesome.,It's worth the wait. Believe me.,- And more directly,,Musk's move to offload billions in Tesla stock,in part related to Twitter,,has pushed down Tesla's share price.,- Anytime anybody sells $40 billion worth of company's stock,it's gonna bring that stock price down.,What isn't clear is how that specific action,is influencing other investors.,- Tesla did not respond to request for comment.,Tesla's stock selloff comes as investors across the market,prepare for what some see as an oncoming recession.,A downturn could slow car buying,,especiall

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If You Own Twitter (TWTR) Shares, You May Want To Take A Profit Now

we are watching shares of Tesla shares,of Twitter,both slumping today all of this after,Elon musk's agreement to move forward,with that 44 billion dollar hustle,takeover deal of Twitter the social,media company so now to go through some,of this and go through the discussion,Matt maley's with us managing director,Chief Market strategist Miller tayback,and Company and founder of the melee,report thanks so much for being with us,so,it's uh going forward right according to,the SEC he has shown his commitment he's,getting all the financing needed we were,due to have a court date on the 17th,looks like that's going to be pushed,back tell me about your thoughts on this,whole thing,well it's been a crazy ride hasn't it I,mean it's it's been a very difficult,thing for for shareholders now uh of,Twitter uh because they've had this this,ridiculous uh roller coaster ride,um but you know it's kind of funny,because people keep asking geez you know,the Stock's still trading below the deal,level and that's fine if you're a,professional Trader and you have a a,great uh uh you know Arbitrage uh on,that that's fine but if you're just a,regular individual investor and unless,you bought this thing in April early May,you've got a huge game do you really,want to hold on for the you know the,last two extra dollars in a stock where,you've got a 50 or even 100 gain uh in a,situation where Elon Musk you just never,know what he might do at the last second,uh you know there's a reason why it's,not trading it it's deal price because,people are worried about this so uh I,guess my point is that if you own the,stock I I want to take some profits here,uh if you want to hold on to a few,shares for for that last couple of,dollars of profit uh that's fine but you,don't want to get too greedy here,what's interesting about the Twitter,story right so it's at 51.65 the buyout,is for 54.20 so that's what you mean,when you're saying the last couple of,dollars to see if it gets there I mean,there could be it could be very volatile,between now and then who knows what,headlines cross and cause the volatility,um yesterday after it was halted a,couple of times we were standing in the,crowd late in the day and it opened it,opened at 52 dollars a share had been,trading in the 40s throughout the whole,day right after the second halt,um we were looking more at 47 48 right,so and at one point it was 45 so it did,already have a big move yesterday what's,interesting is it's not giving that much,back today from 52 to 51.66,that's interesting to me,um to you,yeah I do and to be honest with you it,does tell me it's actually bullish for,Twitter and tells me that that this deal,is is likely going to go through and the,reason for it is because not just the,action action and Twitter but the action,in Tesla Tesla is down but you know,maybe Elon Musk is selling shares,because he knows he's gonna actually,make this this deal go through uh he,needs the money so I know it seems kind,of convoluted but the I I honestly,believe that the situation with,potential share is being down today is,actually it makes me feel that uh uh,that this deal is going to go through,I'm a little bit nervous about it again,if you if you own this stock at 50 lower,do you really need to hold on for that,to take the chance I I don't need to,however uh if you have a high risk,tolerance now there's nothing wrong with,holding on right now because uh the,supply demand is definitely on the sell,side in in the stock of Tesla and uh,that tells me that somebody's doing some,significant selling right now if it's,Elon Musk uh that that's good that the,deal will go through,yeah and what's interesting as we saw,the stock halted throughout the day some,of it was contingent upon him,um getting the receipt of the debt,financing and that has been sort of as,you noted right selling off some Tesla,perhaps he's obviously looking to folks,to shore up some cash to make this go,forward in the meantime Tesla Shares are,down four percent sitting at a level of,238 so you would if you had any Twitter,you would take the profits here on,Twitter what would you do with Tesla,would you buy into Tesla at 238,well it's kind of funny I you know I,don't want to sound like I'm talking out,of both sides of my mouth but on a,short-term basis I would the Stock's,getting oversold and every time we seem,to get uh uh Elon Musk stop selling the,stock I mean sometimes he sold it for,other reasons than just their deal but,after he's done that uh the stock seen a,nice bounce you look at the charts or,relative strength indexed RSI getting,oversold on a short-term basis so it,looks like it should see a pop soon uh,the one thing I do get worried about on,a longer term basis of course is how,much time is he going to have to spend,uh running Tesla is he going to really,going to be able to let somebody else,run it for him how much will he be,involved will that take uh I'm sorry how,much if he's running a Twitter how much,time will that take him away

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Rosenblatt upgrades Twitter stock to buy

welcome back to power lunch how will,twitter's courtroom drama play out a new,call from rosenblatt says twitter could,win the fight it's a change from their,previous stance and it results in a,ratings upgrade to buy and a new target,of 52 a share twitter is currently,around 37. barton crockett joins us he's,senior analyst and managing director at,rosenblatt barton you have to put your,legal hat on for this one,correct um you know but it's interesting,i mean i think in a market like this,you'd rather be wearing a legal hat,sometimes in the fundamental hat,fair enough what leads you to think they,could prevail and what does prevailing,look like,well i think that um what we saw in,twitter's lawsuit against musk was a,detailed elaboration of everything,they've tried to provide him in terms of,explaining the issue that he's objected,to most which is uh spambot calculations,and what we see is that they've done a,lot to show him what they do how they,calculate it have invited him to take a,look at what they do um he hasn't,necessarily fully participated,um but what i see there is,a an effort at openness at transparency,uh that seems to be lie the one hope,that musk would have to get out of this,deal which is that twitter was being uh,you know not really um,disclosing fairly that they essentially,had to be fraudulent um and i think that,the level of disclosure around spam bot,which is where his you know biggest,objections are,you know kills that argument i had many,concerns about twitter's uh disclosures,you know based on what musk had been,saying and after reading what twitter,says in reply you know those concerns,have really evaporated,and i think in this case the judge is,likely to,push musk to complete the deal as agreed,um and i think that's a great near-term,setup in a market where you know there's,a lot of things that aren't going,against you but,here we have a judge going for you,and barton if you do believe then that,twitter will prevail over musk and,you're upgrading shares from hold to buy,and the price target to 52 it sounds,like you believe that not only will they,prevail but at the price at which at,least close to where elon musk could,offer to purchase in the first place,correct i mean twitter's asking for,everything and,i believe that the judge will you know,stand with them that they deserve,everything i think a modest kind of,haircut of three percent or so would be,consistent with some other uh contested,kind of deals that we've seen settle out,you know i think about tiffany um and,what happened in that situation it's a,comparable discount to that uh a recent,you know situation that um,um you know i think you can look at here,the uh you know i think that that the,only reason twitter would even,compromise a little bit is just the time,value of money um if this gets must to,kind of um you know face the inevitable,a little bit quicker,what would be the downside risk then of,course i know you all sort of model this,out as well if we're sitting right now,at about 36 a share we're not really far,from where twitter had been trading on,the trend line before elon musk had made,this offer so let's say you don't own,twitter now and you follow your advice,you invest in these shares here what,would be the downside if this doesn't go,through will the price fall much further,from where we sit,well look if there's no deal i do think,there's a ton of risk in in twitter's,equity i think their damages their,business is being damaged as we go,through this they're not able to to give,people retention bonuses so they have,attrition um the ad market if we're,going into recession is weakening um and,you know so i think that there's,downside if there's no deal i do think,though that um you know we're highly,likely to see a deal another thing that,could happen though to you know,submarine a deal as if you know the,unknowable what happens if,musk completely decides to ignore what a,court orders him to do here um and that,i think is probably the most unknowable,thing here um but you know one thing we,do know is that all of corporate america,acts as if this delaware court has power,um and so the question is can you know,can trump buck that um i think they have,the ability you know for fines and for,um you know orders um you know perhaps,even you know some,some other kind of penalties that,certainly um you know we'll see them,tested i think in this situation

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Continue the next seventh section about twitter stock price

Twitter accepts Elon's deal 🚨 How will you get paid? [Full Details]

twitter board just approved elon musk's,offer to buy twitter for 44 billion,dollars or 54.20 a share and take it,private what does this mean for your,shares your options you definitely want,to listen to this especially if you are,a twitter shareholder or option holder,because what happens when a company goes,private a lot of you are probably,looking at your shares right now twitter,is sitting under,54.20 a share so what happens should you,hold on to your shares are you going to,make money are you also going to be,offered,54.20,a share i'm gonna get into all of that,right here welcome back to the traveling,trader if this is the first time on the,channel welcome to the traveling trader,leave a big fat thumbs up if you get,anything out of this video and let's get,right into it so as we stated at the,outset twitter's board accepted elon,musk's buyout of 44 billion dollars for,the entire company or 54.20 a share,there was really no way for them to,reject this offer because the purchase,price represented a 20 a 38 premium to,twitter's closing stock price on april,1st 2022. see public companies have a,fiduciary responsibility to their,shareholders meaning that they have to,act in the best interest of shareholders,and if,someone is willing to buy the company,for a 38 premium you will have a lot to,prove in court if the case is taken to,court as to why you rejected that offer,sure there were a couple of things that,twitter could have done to challenge,this such as enacting the poison pill,and a few other things however those,things require a lot of effort they they,could even jeopardize twitter's future,right especially like the poison pill,clause that they were looking to,implement would actually destroy twitter,if elon musk went ahead and bought the,company anyway so there was really no,upside in them rejecting this offer,because it would have required a lot of,effort a lot of legal loopholes it would,have cost a lot it could jeopardize the,company's future now a company going,from public to private is actually very,rare but when it happens what we see,from the price action is it's actually,very muted,up until the finalization of that deal,so what we do know as of now is that,twitter said the deal will close this,year that is why there is no rush,to pump this stock up to 54.20,this leads me to the question what,happens if you are a twitter shareholder,currently well if you are a twitter,shareholder currently obviously the,price action is still independent until,the deal is finalized the company is,still public meaning if investors wanted,to or if traders wanted to they can,trade this thing up and down and you,could see some wild price actions but,what are investors incentivized to do,well the reason that they're not,incentivized to buy this stock in large,amounts here is because the deal is,going to take so long to close right the,end of the year i mean we're talking,about what seven eight months from the,time of this recording,it's going to close at such a far-out,date that are you really willing to buy,large amounts of twitter at almost 52,just to make a 2.20 gain at 54.20 so,what happens is when the deal is closed,and the company is delisted every,shareholder meaning you me the board,whoever is going to get paid out 54.20,cents a share if you haven't cashed out,your shares by that time and you haven't,protested the deal because you are a,shareholder you technically have the,right to protest the deal and i will,talk about that in a second but if you,haven't cashed your your shares out then,your broker will likely just cash you,out at the finalization of the deal for,and 20 cents that is what you're going,to get paid for each share now could the,deal actually be nixed because of some,sort of approval process or some sort of,regulation yes technically yes however,going private is much easier than going,public and,usually it they tend to be successful so,there is no real plausible reason to,believe that this twitter deal will not,go through now should you buy twitter at,51.82,well if you have nowhere else to park,your money and you actually think that,the deal is going to go through or you,have or you're very confident that the,deal is going to go through,then sure you can buy it at 51.80,and hold it until the deal goes through,and is finalized and you get paid 54,dollars and 20 cents as a matter of fact,that is much better than what a,three-month treasury bill will will,yield you right now the three-month,treasury bill yield is 0.82 percent,you're not gonna get in your bank,account so if you just wanted to park,some cash and again you are very,confident that the deal will go through,at the end of the year then yeah you can,park some cash in in twitter and get,paid what what is that like four percent,so,54.20 divided by,51.80 equals yeah 4.6 where are you,going to get 4.6 in seven months i mean,you won't even get 4.6 from the 10-year,treasury yield which is currently,yielding like 2.8 percent now like i,said the pr

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