elon musk twitter tesla
Elon Musk talks Twitter, Tesla and how his brain works — live at TED2022hello,so,in just a few minut
Updated on Jan 16,2023
Elon Musk talks Twitter, Tesla and how his brain works — live at TED2022
hello,so,in just a few minutes um elon musk will,be joining us here live on stage,for a conversation uh,rumor has it there are a few things to,talk about with him,um,we we we will see,but um before that,i just want to show you something,special,i want you to come with me to,tesla's huge gigafactory in austin texas,so the day before it opened last week,the evening before i was allowed to walk,around it,no one else there,and what i saw there was honestly pretty,mind-blowing,this is elon musk's famous machine that,builds the machine and his view the,secret to a sustainable future is not,just making an electric car,it's making a system that churns out,huge numbers of electric cars with a,margin so that they can fund further,growth,when i was there um none of us knew,whether elon would actually be able to,make it here today so i took the chance,to sit down with him and record an epic,interview,and i just want to show you,a nine,an eight minute excerpt of that,interview so here from austin texas elon,musk,i want us to switch now to think a bit,about artificial intelligence i i'm,curious about your timelines and how you,predict and how come some things are so,amazingly on the money and some aren't,so when it comes to predicting,sales of tesla vehicles for example,i mean you've kind of been amazing i,think in 2014,when tesla had sold that year 60 000,cars you said 2020 i think we will do,half a million a year yeah we did almost,exactly half a million five years ago,last time you came today we um i asked,you about for self-driving and um you,said yep this very year where i am,confident that we will have a car going,from la to new york uh without any,intervention yeah i i don't want to blow,your mind but i'm not always right,um,so talk what's the difference between,those two why why,why has full self-driving in particular,been so hard to predict i mean the thing,that really got me and i think it's,going to get a lot of other people is,that,there are just so many false stones with,with self-driving um where you think you,think you've got the problem,have a handle on the problem and then it,nope uh it turns out uh you just hit a,ceiling um and and uh,uh,because what happened if you if you were,to plot the progress,the progress looks like a log curve so,it's like yeah,a series of log curves so,uh most people don't like cookies i,suppose but it shows the show,it goes it goes up sort of a you know,sort of a fairly straight way and then,it starts tailing off right and and and,you start there's a kind of ocean,getting diminishing returns you know in,retrospect they seem obvious but uh in,in order to solve uh full self-driving,uh properly you actually just you have,to solve real-world ai,um you you you know because you said,what are the road networks designed to,to work with they're designed to work,with a biological neural net our brains,and with uh vision our eyes,and so in order to make it work,with computers you basically need,to solve real world ai,and vision,because because we we need,we need cameras,and silicon neural nets,uh in order to have to have,self-driving work for a system that was,designed for eyes and biological neural,nets,it you know when you i guess when you,put it that way it's like quite obvious,that the only way to solve full,self-driving is to solve real-world,ai and sophisticated vision what do you,feel about the current architecture do,you think you have an architecture now,where where there is,a chance for the logarithmic curve not,to tail off any anytime,soon,well i mean,admittedly these these uh may be an,infamous uh last words but i i actually,am confident that we will solve it this,year,uh that we will exceed uh,you're like what the probability,of an accident at what point should you,exceed that of the average person right,um i think we will exceed that this year,we could be here,talking again in a year it's like well,yeah another year went by and it didn't,happen but i think this i think this is,the year is there an element that you,actually deliberately,make aggressive prediction timelines to,drive people to be ambitious and without,that nothing gets done,so it's it feels like at some point in,the last year,seeing the progress on,understanding you that you're that the,ai the tesla ai understanding the world,around it led to a kind of an aha moment,in tesla because you really surprised,people recently when you said,probably the most important product,development going on at tesla this year,is this robot optimus yes,is it something that happened in the,development of fourself driving that,gave you the confidence to say you know,what we could do something special here,yeah exactly so you know it took me a,while to sort of realize that that in,order to solve self-driving you really,needed to solve real-world ai um,at the point of which you solve,real-world ai for a car which is really,a robot on four wheels uh you can then,generalize that to a robot on legs as,well,the thing that the things that
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